'Places Trump taxes the most do best in the stock market'

US President's tariffs have 'frightened the dickens out of people', but don't trade on them, says billionaire investor

Investors selling stocks in fear of the effects of Donald Trump's tariffs would be a mistake, according to billionaire investment analyst Ken Fisher.

“Donald Trump has frightened the dickens out of people,” the founder of Fisher Investments, a global investment adviser with $285 billion of assets under management, told The National.

“They extend that in a myopic way, looking forward in the future. And that's a mistake.”

In his monthly column, Mr Fisher wrote that exiting stocks before the next big, scary tariff news is a mistake.

“The fact of the matter is this is a value year and it's a year that can be accomplished by one basic heuristic that most people don't get,” he said. “The places that Donald Trump taxes the most do the best in the stock market.

“If you think of all the places he accuses things of, you put your money there in value stocks, not growth stocks. Places like Germany, Canada, Mexico or China, they're all doing great while America is not.

“This is a year for value outside America.”

Ken Fisher column: Selling your stocks due to Trump tariffs would be big mistake

Mr Fisher said it is folly to try to time markets based on widely known factors. So is selling amid panic, he added.

Mr Trump’s tariffs are bad – especially for America, and one reason why non-US stocks are trouncing America’s in 2025, he said.

He recommended investors to first ask themselves whether they possess information about the future direction of tariffs.

In the absence of such unpriced knowledge, there is no basis for trading on tariffs, Mr Fisher warned.

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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Updated: May 06, 2025, 10:10 AM`