The agenda for US President Donald Trump's visit to Saudi Arabia, Qatar and the UAE is of great interest to the global financial community.  Bloomberg
The agenda for US President Donald Trump's visit to Saudi Arabia, Qatar and the UAE is of great interest to the global financial community. Bloomberg

Gulf investment and Trump tariffs previewed at Milken Conference



US President Donald Trump's visit to the Gulf was briefly previewed during a discussion at a financial conference in California on Tuesday.

The visit came up during a moderated panel event at the 2025 Milken Institute Global Conference in Los Angeles, where the world's financial and economic leaders have gathered this week to talk.

The conference comes a week before Mr Trump's visit to Saudi Arabia, Qatar and the UAE. His visit is expected to focus on securing investment deals, tariffs, the Gaza war and Iran.

“I'm sure the more this kind of engagement, the better we will be able to understand each other and to understand each other will mean that we could be in a better place to address common concerns,” said Nayef Al Hajraf, chairman of Capital Asset Management and former secretary general of the Gulf Co-operation Council.

Mr Al Hajraf acknowledged that while there are “always differences” with respect to politics, Mr Trump's economic and investment agenda during his visit could be measured in a more objective way.

“One plus one equals two. And I think that's where we need to focus our effort,” he said.

He also said there will be a large business delegation arriving in Riyadh for an investment forum, which he said will be a sideline event during Mr Trump's visit.

The Saudi-US Investment Forum on May 13 will convene private and public sector officials with key industries to focus on energy, minerals, financial services, artificial intelligence, manufacturing and health care.

"I really believe that very tangible things will come from it," Charles Hallab, chief executive of the US-Saudi Business Council, told The National.

Saudi Arabia has already pledged to invest at least $600 billion in the US over the next four years, while the UAE plans to contribute $1.4 trillion over the next decade as part of an "investment framework".

Mr Trump's visit to the Gulf also comes as uncertainty over his tariff agenda continues to vex investors. The UAE, Saudi Arabia and Qatar were all subject to a 10 per cent “reciprocal” tariff announced by the US President last month. Economists argue the region will not be directly affected by tariffs.

Members speaking on the panel called for more clarity on Mr Trump's plans and the need for a quick solution, although they noted market volatility so far has no damaging effect.

“As investors, we will need to under have greater clarity … because we hear a lot of CEOs sort of holding back,” said Abu Dhabi Investment Capital chief investment officer Shiv Srinivasan.

Mr Srinivasan also said market volatility does not have to be a “bad thing” and noted uncertainty could also provide opportunities of which investors can take advantage.

Europe’s rearming plan
  • Suspend strict budget rules to allow member countries to step up defence spending
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  • Use the existing EU budget to direct more funds towards defence-related investment
  • Engage the bloc's European Investment Bank to drop limits on lending to defence firms
  • Create a savings and investments union to help companies access capital
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Navdeep Suri, India's Ambassador to the UAE

There has been a longstanding need from the Indian community to have a religious premises where they can practise their beliefs. Currently there is a very, very small temple in Bur Dubai and the community has outgrown this. So this will be a major temple and open to all denominations and a place should reflect India’s diversity.

It fits so well into the UAE’s own commitment to tolerance and pluralism and coming in the year of tolerance gives it that extra dimension.

What we will see on April 20 is the foundation ceremony and we expect a pretty broad cross section of the Indian community to be present, both from the UAE and abroad. The Hindu group that is building the temple will have their holiest leader attending – and we expect very senior representation from the leadership of the UAE.

When the designs were taken to the leadership, there were two clear options. There was a New Jersey model with a rectangular structure with the temple recessed inside so it was not too visible from the outside and another was the Neasden temple in London with the spires in its classical shape. And they said: look we said we wanted a temple so it should look like a temple. So this should be a classical style temple in all its glory.

It is beautifully located - 30 minutes outside of Abu Dhabi and barely 45 minutes to Dubai so it serves the needs of both communities.

This is going to be the big temple where I expect people to come from across the country at major festivals and occasions.

It is hugely important – it will take a couple of years to complete given the scale. It is going to be remarkable and will contribute something not just to the landscape in terms of visual architecture but also to the ethos. Here will be a real representation of UAE’s pluralism.

What's in the deal?

Agreement aims to boost trade by £25.5bn a year in the long run, compared with a total of £42.6bn in 2024

India will slash levies on medical devices, machinery, cosmetics, soft drinks and lamb.

India will also cut automotive tariffs to 10% under a quota from over 100% currently.

Indian employees in the UK will receive three years exemption from social security payments

India expects 99% of exports to benefit from zero duty, raising opportunities for textiles, marine products, footwear and jewellery

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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Updated: May 07, 2025, 7:08 AM